Tesla: margin troughs always recover

by @carol · pick date Sept. 15, 2025 · indefinite · Open · benchmark S&P 500 · performance through June 19, 2026
10.29%Total return
16.07%IRR (annualized)
-12.81%Alpha (ann.)
1.95Beta
0.56Sharpe
0.99Sortino
42.53%Volatility (ann.)
-29.93%Max drawdown
240Days held
Pick (active)
Pick (hypothetical, outside active window)
S&P 500
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Thesis & evidence

Thesis

Margins are bottoming as price-cut cycle ends; energy and FSD optionality are free.

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