Long Exxon — capital discipline

by @ellen · pick date Oct. 25, 2025 · indefinite · Open · benchmark S&P 500 · performance through June 19, 2026

31.76%Total return

66.26%IRR (annualized)

62.28%Alpha (ann.)

-0.49Beta

2.07Sharpe

3.03Sortino

26.38%Volatility (ann.)

-15.69%Max drawdown

198Days held

Pick (active)

Pick (hypothetical, outside active window)

S&P 500

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Thesis & evidence

Buybacks + dividends + capex discipline = unloved compounder. Oil rangebound is fine for the thesis.

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